Microsoft may earn an Affiliate Commission if you purchase something through recommended links in this article. I love the Saints this year as I think they should be the stand-alone favorite to claim the NFC crown in what will likely be Brees’ final run at a second Super Bowl. The Bucs will also have a healthy White and Jason Pierre-Paul when they travel to the dome this time around, which makes a big difference. I am staying away from ‘over-unders’ in Week 1, but if I had to choose a side here, I would bank on seeing rusty defenses and ride with the ‘over’ in this game. The Saints got a solid performance out of wide receiver Michael Thomas, who caught 13 passes for 152 yards; unfortunately, it just wasn't enough for the victory. (WV) If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Saints vs. Tampa Bay is 0-5 against the spread in its last five games but is averaging 284.2 passing yards per game on offense, the fifth-best mark in the NFL. Buccaneers odds: 2019 NFL picks, Week 11 predictions from proven computer model The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated Sunday's Saints vs. … Quarterback Drew Brees completed 32-of-45 pass attempts for 287 yards, but it was New Orleans' ground game that was unable to get going. However, my bold prediction for this game is that the two teams will combine to hit the under. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. Let’s find out by breaking this game down via our Buccaneers vs. Saints betting pick and prediction post. Saints' head coach Sean Payton begins this season dreading the possibility of this year being his 13-time pro-bowl quarterback’s final season in the league. I think Brees does in fact have a touchdown pass - but it’s going to be to Devin White who cuts off a Thomas slant route, snatches the ball, and takes it to the house. I’m giving the edge to the defenses. It's also on an incredible 91-61 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season, Last season, the model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third year in a row on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players. Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Saints vs. Saints to … Payton might not want it to look too different though, because despite how great Tom performed in his most recent outing with New Orleans, he was brutal to watch in his prior three matchups with the Saints as he failed to complete 60% of his passes in all three contests. After it originally being reported that Mike Evans was dressed in pads for practice on Friday and was trending towards playing Week 1 with a minor hamstring issue, the Texas A&M product is now listed as doubtful for Sunday evening’s tilt. Tampa Bay is 3-6 overall and 1-3 at home, while New Orleans is 7-2 overall and 3-1 on the road. The Buccaneers are going to need more help than just the addition of a 43-year old quarterback that played like a shell of himself last season, if they want to rise to the top of the totem pole in the NFC South this year. At the time this is being published, FanDuel Sportsbook has the over/under for this season-opening matchup in New Orleans set at 49.5. The oddsmakers are not making any exceptions for the “GOAT” in his Buccaneer debut, as Tampa Bay will head into its first game with TB12 under center as a three and a half-point underdog against the reigning NFC South Champion Saints. Tampa Bay throws the ball more than any team in the NFL as the team threw for over 4,800 passing yards just a season ago, which puts them in similar company with the Falcons and Cowboys who love to run up point tallies. What are some of your bold predictions for the game? Get ready for an NFC South battle as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints face off at 1 p.m. David: If Brees plays in both games against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this season, it’ll be the 29th and 30th times he does so. I would say they only went through some minor physical therapy. The Bucs are starting both of the best tight ends in the league. Give me New Orleans -3.5 here as I think Brady has a frustrating first day without Belichick in his corner. However, when he throws more than one touchdown against Tampa Bay, that percentage climbs to a staggering 81%. In the one matchup Brees participated in against Bruce Arians' team last year, the Bucs high-powered offense could not get anything going against the Saints, as Payton’s team rolled 34-17, behind a 122.8 passer rating and 80% completion percentage from #9. Yeah, I’m not thinking that happens this Sunday. I may be way off, but I’m putting Brady on the pedestal he deserves and I’m putting him at 350 yards to make it a close contest against the reigning NFC South champs. I don’t put anything past Brady and the way his mind can dissect an opposing defense. Buccaneers spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks. Our data provider is having technical issues, live scoring and stats are impacted. Before entering any Saints vs. We are working with them to enable your sports experiences again as quickly as possible. That's because New Orleans is 12-4 in its last 16 meetings against Tampa Bay. Buccaneers to Win +165. Anyone who has followed it is way up. So, … Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700. Contactthe Nevada Council on Problem Gambling or call 1-800-522-4700. First up are the Saints. With high-powered offenses led by two of the greatest quarterbacks to ever play the game, that seems reasonable. New Orleans won both matchups against the Bucs last year by scoring 32.5 ppg and in one of those games, Teddy Bridgewater was the starting QB who threw for 314 yards and three touchdowns. However, the Saints will enter Sunday's NFC South matchup full of confidence. (PA) If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available, call 1-800-Gambler. Buccaneers vs. Saints Odds. The New Orleans Saints are 18-10 up to this point against the Bucs; winning 64% of these contests while Brees has been under center. So, naturally, there have to be some bold predictions for the 2020 season. (NJ) Bet with your head, not over it! Where I’m going to be bold is not really a surprise. They have two of the best wide receivers in the league. Is there another wager to target? If Evans is unable to go, look for Chris Godwin and Scottie Miller to fill big pass catching roles against New Orleans. Luckily for Payton’s crew this upcoming Sunday though, Brady plays for a different team and has a different coach, so the look of this year’s Week 1 contest is going to look – different. Will Tom Brady throw for five touchdowns? Get the day's big stories + fun stuff you love like mock drafts, picks and power rankings. But when they played the Saints, they averaged just nine pressures per game and recorded one whole sack. 6-keys: media/spln/nfl/reg/free/stories, at CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nfl | pageType: stories | (Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under - O/U). I know these offenses should be pretty electric in 2020, but right off the bat in Week 1 with no real offseason and no preseason? $1,000, winner takes all. It may be tough to see through the fog and predict what we will see out of the newly revamped Buccaneer offense on Sunday following its offseason QB swap, but at least we know what the Saints are capable of versus Tampa, as New Orleans scored 31+ points in both contests against the Bucs last year. Like us on Facebook to see similar stories, The best hole-in-the-wall diner in every state. It’s the one element of their game that hasn’t undergone major cosmetic surgery. The Bucs defense is the only element of their game that any of us have any true confidence in. (CO) Gambling problem? (IN) If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-9-WITH-IT.Indiana Self-Restriction Program. Buccaneers (+3.5)-105. (IL) If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services are available by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537). Just to start, Pro Football Focus ranked the Saints’ offensive line second in the NFL (1st – IND), which is a steep climb for the generously, 13th ranked Tampa Bay O-line. (NV) If your gambling is no longer fun, don’t wait for the problem to get worse. My bold prediction for Week 1 is: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense will hold Brees to zero passing touchdowns for only the second time in 29 tries. Call 1-800-Gambler. Get a Risk-Free Bet up to $500 with FanDuel. Saints (-3.5)-115. Buccaneers spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks, Grades: Packers bounce back with 'A', Dallas fails, Cam addresses benching, coming back from COVID-19, McCarthy upset Cowboys didn't confront Bostic, Browns confirm OBJ has ACL tear, out for the season, Bolles says Broncos are 'neck-and-neck' with Chiefs, Gase explains giving up play-call duties for 0-7 Jets. ... Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints. Tampa Bay averaged around 24 pressures per game and a little more than three sacks per game in 14 games last year. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine. New Orleans and Tampa Bay both averaged 28+ points per game last season and I think there is a good chance offenses come out of the gate much stronger than defenses this year as quarterbacks like Brady and Brees should be able to navigate defenses pre-snap rather easily with no crowd noise impairing their communication. All Rights Reserved. I do not think the Bucs are the best team in this division, even with the addition of TB12, and on a certain level I believe Brees and company are going to rudely welcome Brady to the black-and-blue conference on Sunday evening with an overwhelming sack total in his NFC debut.
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